🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Scotland vs Brazil
Jun 24, 10:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Brazil Away Win
67%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Scotland12%
Draw21%
Brazil67%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)46%
Under 2.5 (0-2)54%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes41%
BTTS: No59%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.0%
0-2
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Scotland vs Brazil — Brazil Away Win: 67%. λ (Home): 0.65 · λ (Away): 1.88.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.