🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Scotland vs Morocco
Jun 19, 10:00 PM · Gillette Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Morocco Away Win
62%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Scotland15%
Draw23%
Morocco62%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)45%
Under 2.5 (0-2)55%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes43%
BTTS: No57%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Scotland vs Morocco — Morocco Away Win: 62%. λ (Home): 0.74 · λ (Away): 1.75.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.