🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
South Africa vs South Korea
Jun 25, 01:00 AM · Estadio BBVA
○ Normal PREDICTION
South Korea Away Win
51%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
South Africa24%
Draw25%
South Korea51%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)48%
Under 2.5 (0-2)52%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes51%
BTTS: No49%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
South Africa vs South Korea — South Korea Away Win: 51%. λ (Home): 1.01 · λ (Away): 1.58.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.