🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
South Korea vs Czech Republic
Jun 12, 02:00 AM · Estadio Akron
○ Normal PREDICTION
South Korea Home Win
53%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
South Korea53%
Draw23%
Czech Republic24%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)59%
Under 2.5 (0-2)41%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes58%
BTTS: No42%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
South Korea vs Czech Republic — South Korea Home Win: 53%. λ (Home): 1.87 · λ (Away): 1.18.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.