🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Switzerland vs Canada
Jun 24, 07:00 PM · BC Place
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Switzerland Home Win
64%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Switzerland64%
Draw23%
Canada13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)42%
Under 2.5 (0-2)58%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes38%
BTTS: No62%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.4%
2-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Switzerland vs Canada — Switzerland Home Win: 64%. λ (Home): 1.74 · λ (Away): 0.62.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.