🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Türkiye vs Paraguay
Jun 20, 03:00 AM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Paraguay Away Win
37%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Türkiye34%
Draw28%
Paraguay37%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)41%
Under 2.5 (0-2)59%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes47%
BTTS: No53%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Türkiye vs Paraguay — Paraguay Away Win: 37%. λ (Home): 1.13 · λ (Away): 1.18.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.