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🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands

Jun 21, 10:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium

🔥 ELITE PREDICTION

Uruguay Home Win

82%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Uruguay82%
Draw17%
Cape Verde Islands1%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)28%
Under 2.5 (0-2)72%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes4%
BTTS: No96%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

28.2%

2-0

25.5%

3-0

15.3%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Uruguay vs Cape Verde IslandsUruguay Home Win: 82%. λ (Home): 1.80 · λ (Away): 0.05.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.