🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Jun 18, 02:00 AM · Estadio Azteca
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Colombia Away Win
75%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Uzbekistan8%
Draw17%
Colombia75%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes38%
BTTS: No62%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
15.4%
0-1
14.2%
0-3
11.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Uzbekistan vs Colombia — Colombia Away Win: 75%. λ (Home): 0.56 · λ (Away): 2.17.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.