🇬🇷 Greek Super League · Relegation Group - 10
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
May 21, 04:00 PM · Panetolikos Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Panetolikos Home Win
35%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Panetolikos35%
Draw31%
Asteras Tripolis34%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)29%
Under 2.5 (0-2)71%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes37%
BTTS: No63%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis — Panetolikos Home Win: 35%. λ (Home): 0.88 · λ (Away): 1.01.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.