TEMPORADA 2026-27
Pronóstico de Campeonato — 2026-27
Nuestro modelo Pi-Ratings simula el resto de la temporada de cada liga decenas de miles de veces. A continuación, la probabilidad de campeonato de cada equipo y cómo cambia mes a mes.
Competiciones de clubes de la UEFA
La fase de liga de 36 equipos, simulada decenas de miles de veces hasta la final. Las tres primeras columnas son la posición final en la fase de liga: los ocho primeros pasan directos a octavos, del noveno al vigesimocuarto van al play-off eliminatorio y el resto queda fuera. Después vienen las columnas de campeón: una por control, con una nueva fechada tras cada jornada, del más antiguo al más reciente.
🏆Liga de Campeones UEFA
36 equipos · 1 control de campeón
| # | Equipo | Top 8 | 9.º–24.º | Fuera | 27 agoSorteo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal1 | 50.8% | 41.3% | 7.9% | 13.2% |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain1 | 39.8% | 45.4% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| 3 | Bayern Munich1 | 43.0% | 43.2% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
| 4 | Manchester City1 | 33.6% | 47.8% | 18.6% | 7.0% |
| 5 | Barcelona1 | 38.3% | 45.2% | 16.6% | 6.3% |
| 6 | Liverpool1 | 39.4% | 45.6% | 15.0% | 5.7% |
| 7 | Real Madrid1 | 37.1% | 47.0% | 15.9% | 5.6% |
| 8 | Manchester United2 | 31.2% | 48.5% | 20.3% | 4.8% |
| 9 | Aston Villa2 | 29.8% | 48.6% | 21.6% | 4.7% |
| 10 | Inter Milan1 | 34.7% | 47.2% | 18.1% | 4.3% |
| 11 | Sporting CP2 | 31.2% | 47.9% | 20.9% | 3.5% |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund2 | 23.2% | 50.4% | 26.4% | 2.6% |
| 13 | Atlético Madrid1 | 21.1% | 48.3% | 30.6% | 2.5% |
| 14 | Roma2 | 22.4% | 49.5% | 28.2% | 2.3% |
| 15 | PSV Eindhoven2 | 26.3% | 46.7% | 27.0% | 2.2% |
| 16 | Porto2 | 23.9% | 49.5% | 26.5% | 2.1% |
| 17 | Club Brugge2 | 23.0% | 47.7% | 29.3% | 1.8% |
| 18 | RB Leipzig3 | 20.3% | 46.7% | 33.1% | 1.6% |
| 19 | Napoli3 | 22.3% | 50.4% | 27.3% | 1.6% |
| 20 | Bodø/Glimt3 | 19.9% | 50.9% | 29.3% | 1.6% |
| 21 | VfB Stuttgart4 | 22.3% | 47.7% | 30.0% | 1.4% |
| 22 | Real Betis2 | 15.0% | 47.3% | 37.6% | 1.3% |
| 23 | Lens4 | 17.1% | 46.3% | 36.6% | 1.2% |
| 24 | Villarreal3 | 14.1% | 45.5% | 40.4% | 1.1% |
| 25 | Lille3 | 13.3% | 48.3% | 38.4% | 1.1% |
| 26 | Fenerbahçe3 | 18.0% | 47.5% | 34.5% | 1.0% |
| 27 | Galatasaray3 | 14.4% | 45.4% | 40.2% | 1.0% |
| 28 | Como4 | 14.8% | 45.6% | 39.5% | 1.0% |
| 29 | AEK Athens4 | 13.3% | 45.3% | 41.4% | 0.6% |
| 30 | Feyenoord3 | 10.0% | 40.5% | 49.5% | 0.5% |
| 31 | Slavia Prague4 | 10.7% | 42.9% | 46.4% | 0.4% |
| 32 | Viking4 | 10.2% | 40.1% | 49.8% | 0.4% |
| 33 | LASK4 | 5.0% | 31.8% | 63.2% | 0.1% |
| 34 | Slovan Bratislava4 | 3.9% | 29.3% | 66.8% | <0.1% |
| 35 | Shakhtar Donetsk3 | 5.0% | 29.8% | 65.2% | <0.1% |
| 36 | Sabah4 | 1.6% | 18.8% | 79.6% | <0.1% |
Probabilidad de ser campeón. Cada columna es un control calculado en la fecha indicada y nunca se reescribe después; el control más reciente es la última columna.
🏆Liga Europa UEFA
36 equipos · 1 control de campeón
| # | Equipo | Top 8 | 9.º–24.º | Fuera | 28 agoSorteo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth3 | 55.0% | 37.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% |
| 2 | Benfica1 | 52.7% | 39.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% |
| 3 | Crystal Palace3 | 50.1% | 40.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen1 | 43.3% | 43.6% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| 5 | Juventus1 | 43.5% | 44.0% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
| 6 | Sunderland3 | 46.5% | 43.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| 7 | Milan1 | 33.5% | 49.0% | 17.5% | 5.6% |
| 8 | Rennes2 | 35.2% | 48.6% | 16.2% | 4.0% |
| 9 | Marseille1 | 30.3% | 49.2% | 20.5% | 3.8% |
| 10 | Union Saint-Gilloise2 | 30.2% | 49.4% | 20.4% | 3.7% |
| 11 | Lyon1 | 25.6% | 50.2% | 24.2% | 3.6% |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim4 | 30.8% | 49.1% | 20.1% | 3.6% |
| 13 | Celta Vigo3 | 23.2% | 49.7% | 27.1% | 3.1% |
| 14 | Olympiacos1 | 24.7% | 51.6% | 23.7% | 2.6% |
| 15 | Real Sociedad1 | 23.5% | 49.7% | 26.7% | 2.5% |
| 16 | Celtic2 | 20.4% | 48.2% | 31.4% | 1.4% |
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb2 | 19.1% | 48.2% | 32.7% | 1.3% |
| 18 | Sparta Prague2 | 18.9% | 49.3% | 31.8% | 1.2% |
| 19 | Viktoria Plzeň2 | 12.3% | 48.4% | 39.4% | 1.1% |
| 20 | Lech Poznań3 | 16.2% | 47.3% | 36.5% | 1.1% |
| 21 | NEC4 | 19.3% | 48.3% | 32.5% | 1.0% |
| 22 | AZ1 | 16.5% | 48.6% | 34.9% | 1.0% |
| 23 | Ferencváros2 | 15.8% | 47.6% | 36.6% | 0.9% |
| 24 | Beşiktaş4 | 10.5% | 41.7% | 47.8% | 0.8% |
| 25 | Anderlecht2 | 12.2% | 45.0% | 42.7% | 0.7% |
| 26 | Celje3 | 15.4% | 45.3% | 39.3% | 0.6% |
| 27 | Jagiellonia Białystok3 | 8.8% | 42.8% | 48.4% | 0.5% |
| 28 | Red Bull Salzburg2 | 10.5% | 42.7% | 46.8% | 0.4% |
| 29 | Omonia3 | 9.0% | 41.8% | 49.2% | 0.4% |
| 30 | Sturm Graz3 | 9.8% | 42.2% | 48.0% | 0.4% |
| 31 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva4 | 7.6% | 41.0% | 51.4% | 0.3% |
| 32 | Ararat-Armenia4 | 10.9% | 42.5% | 46.7% | 0.2% |
| 33 | Levski Sofia4 | 4.8% | 38.2% | 57.0% | 0.1% |
| 34 | Lillestrøm4 | 4.8% | 33.6% | 61.7% | 0.1% |
| 35 | Torreense4 | 4.4% | 31.3% | 64.3% | <0.1% |
| 36 | OFI4 | 4.8% | 31.4% | 63.8% | <0.1% |
Probabilidad de ser campeón. Cada columna es un control calculado en la fecha indicada y nunca se reescribe después; el control más reciente es la última columna.
🏆Liga Conferencia UEFA
36 equipos · 1 control de campeón
| # | Equipo | Top 8 | 9.º–24.º | Fuera | 28 agoSorteo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion2 | 56.4% | 37.5% | 6.2% | 18.0% |
| 2 | Atalanta1 | 48.8% | 41.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| 3 | Midtjylland2 | 49.1% | 41.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| 4 | SC Freiburg1 | 40.6% | 45.8% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| 5 | Monaco1 | 39.8% | 47.5% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| 6 | Braga1 | 44.2% | 44.5% | 11.4% | 6.5% |
| 7 | Getafe3 | 31.6% | 51.4% | 17.0% | 4.6% |
| 8 | Nordsjælland5 | 30.9% | 52.5% | 16.5% | 4.3% |
| 9 | Red Star Belgrade2 | 35.5% | 49.5% | 15.0% | 3.6% |
| 10 | Copenhagen1 | 27.3% | 50.5% | 22.2% | 2.8% |
| 11 | Pafos2 | 22.2% | 51.0% | 26.8% | 2.7% |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden4 | 27.3% | 51.0% | 21.7% | 2.5% |
| 13 | Mjällby AIF6 | 37.3% | 48.0% | 14.6% | 2.5% |
| 14 | Twente3 | 24.8% | 50.7% | 24.5% | 2.4% |
| 15 | Ajax1 | 16.4% | 46.8% | 36.8% | 2.1% |
| 16 | Brann4 | 24.9% | 52.4% | 22.8% | 2.0% |
| 17 | Trabzonspor4 | 23.8% | 49.9% | 26.3% | 2.0% |
| 18 | Panathinaikos2 | 18.8% | 51.8% | 29.4% | 2.0% |
| 19 | Gent2 | 22.2% | 50.8% | 27.1% | 1.8% |
| 20 | AGF5 | 19.3% | 53.8% | 26.9% | 1.6% |
| 21 | Thun6 | 22.0% | 47.8% | 30.2% | 1.3% |
| 22 | Universitatea Craiova4 | 20.9% | 50.9% | 28.1% | 1.3% |
| 23 | Heart of Midlothian4 | 17.8% | 49.1% | 33.1% | 1.1% |
| 24 | Lugano3 | 15.3% | 49.7% | 35.0% | 0.9% |
| 25 | Jablonec5 | 13.0% | 48.3% | 38.7% | 0.7% |
| 26 | Hajduk Split5 | 13.8% | 47.3% | 38.9% | 0.4% |
| 27 | Riga5 | 11.2% | 43.8% | 44.9% | 0.2% |
| 28 | Kairat4 | 8.5% | 39.5% | 52.0% | 0.2% |
| 29 | CSKA Sofia6 | 5.4% | 35.3% | 59.3% | 0.2% |
| 30 | Inter Club d'Escaldes5 | 6.9% | 35.1% | 58.0% | 0.1% |
| 31 | KuPS3 | 7.5% | 42.3% | 50.2% | 0.1% |
| 32 | Borac Banja Luka3 | 4.6% | 35.0% | 60.4% | <0.1% |
| 33 | Egnatia6 | 4.2% | 35.2% | 60.6% | <0.1% |
| 34 | Kauno Žalgiris6 | 3.7% | 31.5% | 64.8% | <0.1% |
| 35 | Lincoln Red Imps3 | 3.2% | 26.6% | 70.2% | <0.1% |
| 36 | Iberia 19996 | 0.9% | 14.6% | 84.6% | 0% |
Probabilidad de ser campeón. Cada columna es un control calculado en la fecha indicada y nunca se reescribe después; el control más reciente es la última columna.
🏴Premier League
2 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 56.2% | 56.2% | 62.7% |
| Manchester City | 21.9% | 21.9% | 25.3% |
| Chelsea | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| Brentford | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Leeds | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Brighton | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Liverpool | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Newcastle | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Bournemouth | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Manchester United | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Aston Villa | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Crystal Palace | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Everton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fulham | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tottenham | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coventry | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hull City | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ipswich | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sunderland | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇪🇸La Liga
3 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 58.2% | 58.2% | 60.6% |
| Real Madrid | 33.6% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
| Atletico Madrid | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Real Betis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alaves | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Athletic Club | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Osasuna | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Celta Vigo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Real Sociedad | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valencia | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deportivo La Coruna* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elche | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Espanyol | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Getafe | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levante | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malaga* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Racing Santander* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sevilla | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Villarreal | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇮🇹Serie A
2 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 42.9% | 42.9% | 41.9% |
| Inter | 22.1% | 22.1% | 23.6% |
| Como | 20.0% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| AS Roma | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% |
| AC Milan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% |
| Atalanta | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% |
| Lazio | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Napoli | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Fiorentina | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Udinese | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bologna | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sassuolo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cagliari | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frosinone | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genoa | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lecce | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monza | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parma | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torino | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Venezia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇩🇪Bundesliga
1 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 87.6% | 87.6% | 90.3% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| RB Leipzig | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| SC Freiburg | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 1. FC Köln | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| FC Augsburg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Werder Bremen | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Schalke 04 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hamburger SV | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SV Elversberg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Union Berlin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇫🇷Ligue 1
2 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 97.2% | 97.6% | 96.0% |
| Lens | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| Lille | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% |
| Monaco | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Lyon | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rennes | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marseille | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Strasbourg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lorient | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Auxerre | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Estac Troyes | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Le Havre | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Le Mans* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nice | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris FC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toulouse | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇹🇷Superliga Turca
3 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 46.4% | 46.0% | 51.0% |
| Fenerbahçe | 39.7% | 39.3% | 30.0% |
| Erzurumspor FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% |
| Beşiktaş | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Amed | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| Başakşehir | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Trabzonspor | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Göztepe | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Rizespor | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Çorum FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samsunspor | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kasımpaşa | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kocaelispor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Konyaspor | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alanyaspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eyüpspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gaziantep FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇵🇹Primeira Liga Portuguesa
2 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 67.1% | 67.5% | 65.4% |
| Benfica | 26.5% | 26.4% | 23.4% |
| FC Porto | 5.4% | 5.2% | 10.5% |
| SC Braga | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Academico Viseu* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alverca | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arouca | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casa Pia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Estoril | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Estrela | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Famalicao | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| GIL Vicente | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maritimo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Moreirense | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nacional | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rio Ave | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santa Clara | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vitória SC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇳🇱Eredivisie Holandesa
3 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 86.6% | 86.6% | 88.1% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% |
| Ajax | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% |
| Twente | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| NEC Nijmegen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Feyenoord | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Utrecht | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Groningen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heerenveen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Excelsior | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telstar | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ADO Den Haag | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cambuur | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fortuna Sittard | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| PEC Zwolle | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem II | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🏴Premiership Escocesa
3 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 54.5% | 56.5% | 70.2% |
| Rangers | 22.9% | 19.9% | 12.5% |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.4% |
| Hibernian | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Motherwell | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Aberdeen | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dundee | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dundee Utd | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Falkirk | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kilmarnock | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ST Johnstone | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ST Mirren | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇨🇭Superliga Suiza
4 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 19.3% | 22.5% | 44.3% |
| FC Sion | 36.4% | 28.5% | 24.8% |
| BSC Young Boys | 16.8% | 23.4% | 19.7% |
| FC ST. Gallen | 9.8% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| FC Thun | 3.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Servette FC | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| FC Luzern | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| FC Basel 1893 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| FC Vaduz | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Zurich | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grasshoppers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lausanne | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇦🇹Bundesliga Austríaca
4 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 57.4% | 62.5% | 76.3% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 10.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% |
| Sturm Graz | 25.5% | 23.1% | 7.7% |
| Rapid Vienna | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.6% |
| Grazer AK | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| TSV Hartberg | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Austria Vienna | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Wolfsberger AC | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ried | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austria Lustenau | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SCR Altach | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| WSG Wattens | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇬🇷Superliga Griega
1 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 57.1% | 56.2% | 42.4% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 22.2% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| PAOK | 17.0% | 17.0% | 23.9% |
| Panathinaikos | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| OFI | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asteras Tripolis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atromitos | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iraklis 1908* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalamata* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kifisia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levadiakos | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Panetolikos | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Volos NFC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇺🇦Liga Premier Ucraniana
2 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 80.6% | 82.1% | 84.0% |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Polessya | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% |
| Karpaty | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| FC Kharkiv | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zorya Luhansk | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kryvbas KR | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bukovyna* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chornomorets | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kudrivka | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Livyi Bereh | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veres Rivne | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇷🇺Liga Premier Rusa
6 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 41.5% | 44.1% | 68.8% |
| Zenit | 53.1% | 51.9% | 28.8% |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Dynamo | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Baltika | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| CSKA Moscow | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lokomotiv | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Akhmat | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Akron | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Orenburg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Rostov | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fakel | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rodina Moskva | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rubin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🏴Championship Inglesa
3 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 66.3% | 67.4% | 47.6% |
| Southampton | 22.1% | 21.4% | 28.4% |
| Wolves | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.4% |
| Lincoln | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Middlesbrough | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% |
| Millwall | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% |
| Burnley | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Norwich | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Cardiff | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Swansea | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Derby | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| West Brom | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Birmingham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blackburn | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bolton | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bristol City | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlton | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Portsmouth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| QPR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sheffield Utd | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stoke City | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Watford | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wrexham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🏴League One Inglesa
2 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 19.8% | 20.0% | 23.7% |
| Plymouth | 23.4% | 24.3% | 19.8% |
| Mansfield Town | 17.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| Luton | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.0% |
| Oxford United | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% |
| Huddersfield | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% |
| Leicester | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Cambridge United | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.2% |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.9% |
| Wycombe | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Blackpool | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Reading | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bradford | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Notts County | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Burton Albion | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bromley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Orient | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Doncaster | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peterborough | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stevenage | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wigan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barnsley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🏴League Two Inglesa
3 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| York | 0.0% | 0.0% | 85.3% |
| Barnet | 23.3% | 23.6% | 5.4% |
| Grimsby | 31.3% | 29.9% | 4.6% |
| Oldham | 9.9% | 10.1% | 1.6% |
| Bristol Rovers | 8.6% | 9.2% | 1.4% |
| Rochdale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| Salford City | 14.7% | 15.2% | 0.4% |
| Colchester | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Exeter City | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Chesterfield | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Crewe | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Port Vale | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Fleetwood Town | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Accrington ST | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cheltenham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crawley Town | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillingham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Newport County | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Northampton | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rotherham | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shrewsbury | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Swindon Town | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tranmere | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walsall | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🏴National League Inglesa
4 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boreham Wood | 37.7% | 37.4% | 58.9% |
| Carlisle | 29.1% | 29.5% | 17.8% |
| Southend | 15.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| Forest Green | 10.8% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Woking | 5.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Boston United | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| FC Halifax Town | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Altrincham | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tamworth | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Scunthorpe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrogate Town | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wealdstone | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Solihull Moors | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| AFC Fylde | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AFC Hornchurch* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aldershot Town | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrow | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eastleigh | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gateshead | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hartlepool | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kidderminster Harriers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sutton Utd | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Worthing* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yeovil Town | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇹🇷Primera División Turca
4 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 52.7% | 52.5% | 39.9% |
| Keçiörengücü | 19.6% | 19.6% | 24.8% |
| Bandırmaspor | 8.0% | 8.3% | 15.3% |
| Bodrum FK | 15.1% | 15.4% | 11.4% |
| Kayserispor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.9% |
| Sarıyer | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% |
| Pendikspor | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% |
| Manisa F.K. | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% |
| İstanbulspor | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Batman Petrolspor* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Iğdır FK | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Muğlaspor* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mardin 1969* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ümraniyespor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bursaspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antalyaspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boluspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sivasspor | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanspor FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
Un modelo puro, solo nuestras propias probabilidades, sin mezclar nada externo. La ventaja de local se aplica al equipo local real de cada partido — a diferencia del Mundial, no hay sedes neutrales.