TEMPORADA 2026-27
Pronóstico de Campeonato — 2026-27
Nuestro modelo Pi-Ratings simula el resto de la temporada de cada liga decenas de miles de veces. A continuación, la probabilidad de campeonato de cada equipo y cómo cambia mes a mes.
Competiciones de clubes de la UEFA
La fase de liga de 36 equipos, simulada decenas de miles de veces hasta la final. Las tres primeras columnas son la posición final en la fase de liga: los ocho primeros pasan directos a octavos, del noveno al vigesimocuarto van al play-off eliminatorio y el resto queda fuera. Después vienen las columnas de campeón: una por control, con una nueva fechada tras cada jornada, del más antiguo al más reciente.
🏆Liga de Campeones UEFA
36 equipos · 4 controles de campeón
| # | Equipo | Top 8 | 9.º–24.º | Fuera | 27 agoSorteo | 10 septJ1 | 14 octJ2 | 21 octJ3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal1 | 71.0% | 28.5% | 0.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain1 | 79.1% | 20.7% | 0.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3%▲0.9 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich1 | 34.2% | 57.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| 4 | Barcelona1 | 52.6% | 44.3% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9%▼0.9 |
| 5 | Real Madrid1 | 80.0% | 19.8% | 0.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8%▲0.7 |
| 6 | Liverpool1 | 74.9% | 24.7% | 0.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4%▲0.4 |
| 7 | Manchester City1 | 38.6% | 55.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1%▲0.4 |
| 8 | Aston Villa2 | 68.8% | 30.8% | 0.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3%▲1.0 |
| 9 | Inter Milan1 | 11.1% | 60.4% | 28.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0%▲0.4 |
| 10 | Sporting CP2 | 28.3% | 62.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0%▼1.0 |
| 11 | Borussia Dortmund2 | 27.6% | 64.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0%▲0.4 |
| 12 | Manchester United2 | 10.2% | 60.4% | 29.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8%▼1.0 |
| 13 | Atlético Madrid1 | 13.7% | 65.0% | 21.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4%▼0.3 |
| 14 | Real Betis2 | 50.3% | 47.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4%▲0.4 |
| 15 | Club Brugge2 | 30.2% | 60.4% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2%▲0.3 |
| 16 | Roma2 | 9.1% | 61.0% | 30.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7%▲0.2 |
| 17 | VfB Stuttgart4 | 33.0% | 59.9% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7%▼0.3 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven2 | 12.6% | 61.4% | 26.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6%▲0.4 |
| 19 | Como4 | 23.3% | 64.5% | 12.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5%▲0.3 |
| 20 | Bodø/Glimt3 | 7.3% | 60.6% | 32.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| 21 | Villarreal3 | 7.4% | 57.8% | 34.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1%▼0.4 |
| 22 | Napoli3 | 6.9% | 57.2% | 35.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1%▲0.1 |
| 23 | RB Leipzig3 | 5.9% | 54.3% | 39.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0%▼0.5 |
| 24 | Lens4 | 4.9% | 49.8% | 45.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7%▼0.4 |
| 25 | Galatasaray3 | 4.7% | 50.0% | 45.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7%▲0.3 |
| 26 | Porto2 | 0.7% | 28.1% | 71.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6%▼0.5 |
| 27 | Feyenoord3 | 3.9% | 46.3% | 49.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5%▼0.2 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe3 | 1.7% | 36.9% | 61.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3%▼0.3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens4 | 2.7% | 42.4% | 54.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3%▼0.1 |
| 30 | Lille3 | 0.2% | 15.3% | 84.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2%▼0.2 |
| 31 | Viking4 | 0.6% | 28.1% | 71.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 32 | Slavia Prague4 | 0.3% | 18.9% | 80.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 33 | LASK4 | 1.7% | 38.1% | 60.3% | 0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 34 | Shakhtar Donetsk3 | 2.3% | 42.1% | 55.6% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava4 | <0.1% | 7.7% | 92.2% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 36 | Sabah4 | 0.4% | 18.0% | 81.6% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
Probabilidad de ser campeón. Cada columna es un control calculado en la fecha indicada y nunca se reescribe después; el control más reciente es la última columna.
🏆Liga Europa UEFA
36 equipos · 4 controles de campeón
| # | Equipo | Top 8 | 9.º–24.º | Fuera | 28 agoSorteo | 17 septJ1 | 1 octJ2 | 22 octJ3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth3 | 89.3% | 10.7% | <0.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.3%▲1.5 |
| 2 | Benfica1 | 90.1% | 9.8% | <0.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.9%▲0.9 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen1 | 82.3% | 17.6% | <0.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7%▲1.2 |
| 4 | Juventus1 | 61.2% | 38.0% | 0.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9%▼0.6 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace3 | 28.9% | 62.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8%▼1.2 |
| 6 | Sunderland3 | 58.1% | 40.5% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1%▼0.9 |
| 7 | Union Saint-Gilloise2 | 53.3% | 44.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1%▲0.4 |
| 8 | Lyon1 | 33.5% | 61.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6%▼0.8 |
| 9 | Milan1 | 12.7% | 68.2% | 19.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1%▼0.7 |
| 10 | Olympiacos1 | 64.3% | 35.3% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 11 | Rennes2 | 30.3% | 62.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7%▼0.2 |
| 12 | Ferencváros2 | 56.0% | 43.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2%▲0.1 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad1 | 14.7% | 68.2% | 17.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2%▲0.5 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo3 | 5.7% | 62.3% | 32.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9%▲0.7 |
| 15 | TSG Hoffenheim4 | 6.7% | 60.8% | 32.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8%▲0.6 |
| 16 | Beşiktaş4 | 27.2% | 66.3% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8%▼0.1 |
| 17 | AZ1 | 25.7% | 66.3% | 8.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6%▲0.5 |
| 18 | Marseille1 | 0.5% | 32.2% | 67.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9%▼0.5 |
| 19 | Sparta Prague2 | 8.8% | 64.3% | 26.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9%▼0.3 |
| 20 | Dinamo Zagreb2 | 4.9% | 58.7% | 36.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9%▼0.6 |
| 21 | NEC4 | 9.4% | 63.9% | 26.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8%▲0.3 |
| 22 | Anderlecht2 | 5.3% | 59.7% | 34.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7%▲0.3 |
| 23 | Red Bull Salzburg2 | 5.6% | 59.3% | 35.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6%▼0.2 |
| 24 | Omonia3 | 11.4% | 70.2% | 18.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| 25 | Sturm Graz3 | 5.0% | 59.1% | 36.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4%▲0.1 |
| 26 | Lech Poznań3 | 0.8% | 31.0% | 68.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4%▼0.2 |
| 27 | Celtic2 | 0.4% | 25.4% | 74.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3%▼0.3 |
| 28 | Jagiellonia Białystok3 | 1.5% | 39.9% | 58.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3%▼0.2 |
| 29 | Levski Sofia4 | 3.0% | 57.6% | 39.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | <0.1% | 0.2%▲0.1 |
| 30 | Viktoria Plzeň2 | 0.1% | 16.4% | 83.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2%▼0.2 |
| 31 | Celje3 | 0.5% | 27.8% | 71.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 32 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva4 | 0.2% | 19.4% | 80.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | <0.1% |
| 33 | Torreense4 | 1.6% | 40.1% | 58.4% | <0.1% | 0.2% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 34 | OFI4 | 0.9% | 35.7% | 63.4% | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | <0.1% |
| 35 | Ararat-Armenia4 | <0.1% | 13.2% | 86.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 36 | Lillestrøm4 | <0.1% | 9.0% | 91.0% | 0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
Probabilidad de ser campeón. Cada columna es un control calculado en la fecha indicada y nunca se reescribe después; el control más reciente es la última columna.
🏆Liga Conferencia UEFA
36 equipos · 3 controles de campeón
| # | Equipo | Top 8 | 9.º–24.º | Fuera | 28 agoSorteo | 15 octJ1 | 5 novJ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion2 | 55.0% | 42.6% | 2.4% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 18.8%▼0.4 |
| 2 | Monaco1 | 73.6% | 25.9% | 0.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0%▲1.1 |
| 3 | Atalanta1 | 41.3% | 51.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6%▼1.5 |
| 4 | SC Freiburg1 | 28.2% | 59.3% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8%▼1.1 |
| 5 | Braga1 | 30.6% | 62.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8%▲0.6 |
| 6 | Copenhagen1 | 45.0% | 51.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6%▲0.4 |
| 7 | Midtjylland2 | 10.1% | 62.2% | 27.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5%▼1.3 |
| 8 | Twente3 | 57.7% | 40.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2%▲0.6 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden4 | 52.4% | 44.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6%▲0.8 |
| 10 | Panathinaikos2 | 46.8% | 50.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5%▲1.2 |
| 11 | Trabzonspor4 | 57.3% | 40.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3%▲0.6 |
| 12 | Brann4 | 48.4% | 48.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3%▲0.9 |
| 13 | Ajax1 | 16.9% | 59.6% | 23.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9%▲1.0 |
| 14 | Getafe3 | 6.5% | 61.7% | 31.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8%▼1.3 |
| 15 | Nordsjælland5 | 10.3% | 62.9% | 26.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6%▼0.8 |
| 16 | Lugano3 | 57.2% | 40.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4%▲0.7 |
| 17 | Red Star Belgrade2 | 9.8% | 63.9% | 26.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4%▼0.6 |
| 18 | Mjällby AIF6 | 31.9% | 60.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3%▼0.3 |
| 19 | Gent2 | 17.9% | 61.1% | 21.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6%▼0.2 |
| 20 | Hajduk Split5 | 45.9% | 50.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4%▲0.5 |
| 21 | Universitatea Craiova4 | 23.4% | 66.6% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3%▲0.4 |
| 22 | Pafos2 | 3.4% | 46.6% | 50.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1%▼0.5 |
| 23 | AGF5 | 4.1% | 50.4% | 45.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0%▼0.4 |
| 24 | Jablonec5 | 4.3% | 52.0% | 43.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| 25 | Heart of Midlothian4 | 3.3% | 47.7% | 49.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6%▼0.2 |
| 26 | Thun6 | 1.9% | 34.5% | 63.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3%▼0.2 |
| 27 | Riga5 | 5.4% | 48.0% | 46.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 28 | Borac Banja Luka3 | 5.7% | 51.2% | 43.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 29 | CSKA Sofia6 | 1.6% | 35.2% | 63.2% | 0.2% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 30 | Egnatia6 | 2.8% | 49.5% | 47.8% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 31 | Kairat4 | 0.7% | 23.6% | 75.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | <0.1% |
| 32 | Inter Club d'Escaldes5 | 0.1% | 10.6% | 89.3% | 0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 33 | KuPS3 | 0.1% | 10.8% | 89.1% | 0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 34 | Kauno Žalgiris6 | 0.4% | 14.9% | 84.7% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 35 | Lincoln Red Imps3 | <0.1% | 9.1% | 90.8% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0% |
| 36 | Iberia 19996 | <0.1% | 8.6% | 91.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Probabilidad de ser campeón. Cada columna es un control calculado en la fecha indicada y nunca se reescribe después; el control más reciente es la última columna.
🏴Premier League
5 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 21.9% | 21.9% | 25.3% | 55.4% |
| Arsenal | 56.2% | 56.2% | 62.7% | 38.4% |
| Brighton | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% |
| Liverpool | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% |
| Leeds | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brentford | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Chelsea | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Newcastle | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Everton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bournemouth | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Manchester United | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Crystal Palace | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aston Villa | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Coventry | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fulham | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hull City | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ipswich | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sunderland | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tottenham | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇪🇸La Liga
6 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 58.2% | 58.2% | 60.6% | 97.0% |
| Real Madrid | 33.6% | 33.6% | 34.4% | 2.9% |
| Atletico Madrid | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Real Betis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alaves | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Athletic Club | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Celta Vigo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deportivo La Coruna* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elche | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Espanyol | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Getafe | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levante | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malaga* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Osasuna | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Racing Santander* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Real Sociedad | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sevilla | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valencia | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Villarreal | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇮🇹Serie A
5 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 38.9% |
| Inter | 22.1% | 22.1% | 23.6% | 33.0% |
| Como | 20.0% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| Juventus | 42.9% | 42.9% | 41.9% | 8.3% |
| AC Milan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Lazio | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Atalanta | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Napoli | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Udinese | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bologna | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cagliari | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiorentina | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frosinone | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genoa | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lecce | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monza | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parma | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sassuolo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torino | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Venezia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇩🇪Bundesliga
4 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 87.6% | 87.6% | 90.3% | 83.4% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 11.0% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| SC Freiburg | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| RB Leipzig | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| FC Augsburg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 1. FC Köln | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Schalke 04 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hamburger SV | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SV Elversberg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Union Berlin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Werder Bremen | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇫🇷Ligue 1
5 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 97.2% | 97.6% | 96.0% | 69.3% |
| Monaco | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 18.5% |
| Lille | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 5.7% |
| Lyon | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 3.4% |
| Rennes | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.5% |
| Lens | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Paris FC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Strasbourg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Marseille | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Toulouse | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lorient | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Auxerre | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Estac Troyes | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Le Havre | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Le Mans* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nice | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇹🇷Superliga Turca
6 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 46.4% | 46.0% | 51.0% | 50.3% |
| Beşiktaş | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 24.3% |
| Fenerbahçe | 39.7% | 39.3% | 30.0% | 23.0% |
| Amed | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Trabzonspor | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Başakşehir | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erzurumspor FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 0.1% |
| Çorum FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kocaelispor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alanyaspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rizespor | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gaziantep FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kasımpaşa | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eyüpspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Göztepe | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Konyaspor | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samsunspor | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇵🇹Primeira Liga Portuguesa
6 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 26.5% | 26.4% | 23.4% | 63.5% |
| FC Porto | 5.4% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 19.9% |
| Sporting CP | 67.1% | 67.5% | 65.4% | 16.6% |
| SC Braga | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Santa Clara | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Academico Viseu* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alverca | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arouca | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casa Pia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Estoril | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Estrela | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Famalicao | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| GIL Vicente | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maritimo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Moreirense | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nacional | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rio Ave | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vitória SC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇳🇱Eredivisie Holandesa
7 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 86.6% | 86.6% | 88.1% | 80.4% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 12.3% |
| Ajax | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Feyenoord | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% |
| Twente | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Excelsior | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Groningen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ADO Den Haag | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cambuur | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fortuna Sittard | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heerenveen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NEC Nijmegen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| PEC Zwolle | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telstar | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Utrecht | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem II | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🏴Premiership Escocesa
7 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 54.5% | 56.5% | 70.2% | 79.0% |
| Rangers | 22.9% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 19.2% |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Motherwell | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Hibernian | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Aberdeen | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dundee | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dundee Utd | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Falkirk | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kilmarnock | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ST Johnstone | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ST Mirren | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇨🇭Superliga Suiza
9 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 19.3% | 22.5% | 44.3% | 86.8% |
| BSC Young Boys | 16.8% | 23.4% | 19.7% | 7.7% |
| FC Sion | 36.4% | 28.5% | 24.8% | 5.3% |
| FC ST. Gallen | 9.8% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
| FC Basel 1893 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| FC Luzern | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| FC Thun | 3.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| FC Vaduz | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Zurich | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grasshoppers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lausanne | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Servette FC | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
🇦🇹Bundesliga Austríaca
7 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 57.4% | 62.5% | 76.3% | 40.2% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 10.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 35.9% |
| Rapid Vienna | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 22.9% |
| Sturm Graz | 25.5% | 23.1% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Austria Lustenau | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austria Vienna | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grazer AK | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ried | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SCR Altach | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TSV Hartberg | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| WSG Wattens | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wolfsberger AC | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🇬🇷Superliga Griega
5 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 57.1% | 56.2% | 42.4% | 65.1% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 22.2% | 23.2% | 29.0% | 15.9% |
| PAOK | 17.0% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 10.9% |
| Panathinaikos | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% |
| OFI | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asteras Tripolis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atromitos | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iraklis 1908* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalamata* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kifisia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levadiakos | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Panetolikos | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Volos NFC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇺🇦Liga Premier Ucraniana
4 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 80.6% | 82.1% | 84.0% | 53.2% |
| Polessya | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 36.0% |
| FC Kharkiv | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 4.3% |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Karpaty | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bukovyna* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chornomorets | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kryvbas KR | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kudrivka | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Livyi Bereh | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veres Rivne | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zorya Luhansk | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
🇷🇺Liga Premier Rusa
9 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 41.5% | 44.1% | 68.8% | 56.1% |
| Zenit | 53.1% | 51.9% | 28.8% | 31.6% |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 7.0% |
| Dynamo | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 4.1% |
| CSKA Moscow | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% |
| Baltika | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rubin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Akhmat | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Akron | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Orenburg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FC Rostov | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fakel | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lokomotiv | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rodina Moskva | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🇹🇷Primera División Turca
8 jornadas jugadas
| Equipo | jul 2026 | ago 2026 | sept 2026 | oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 19.6% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 40.2% |
| Kayserispor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 26.9% |
| Bursaspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% |
| Bandırmaspor | 8.0% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Iğdır FK | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.2% |
| Sarıyer | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Pendikspor | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Batman Petrolspor* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Bodrum FK | 15.1% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 0.4% |
| Esenler Erokspor | 52.7% | 52.5% | 39.9% | 0.3% |
| Muğlaspor* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mardin 1969* | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Manisa F.K. | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| İstanbulspor | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ümraniyespor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antalyaspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boluspor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sivasspor | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanspor FK | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
* Ascendido esta temporada o con historial limitado en esta liga — el modelo le asigna una puntuación inicial prudente, basada en los equipos del percentil inferior de la propia liga.
Un modelo puro, solo nuestras propias probabilidades, sin mezclar nada externo. La ventaja de local se aplica al equipo local real de cada partido — a diferencia del Mundial, no hay sedes neutrales.