🏴 English League Two · Final
Notts County vs Salford City
May 25, 02:00 PM · Wembley Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Salford City Away Win
36%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Notts County35%
Draw29%
Salford City36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)39%
Under 2.5 (0-2)61%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes45%
BTTS: No55%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Notts County vs Salford City — Salford City Away Win: 36%. λ (Home): 1.09 · λ (Away): 1.15.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.