🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Cremonese vs Como
May 24, 06:45 PM · Stadio Giovanni Zini
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Como Away Win
77%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Cremonese4%
Draw18%
Como77%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)36%
Under 2.5 (0-2)64%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes19%
BTTS: No81%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
22.3%
0-2
20.8%
0-3
13.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Cremonese vs Como — Como Away Win: 77%. λ (Home): 0.26 · λ (Away): 1.87.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.