🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Hellas Verona vs AS Roma
May 24, 06:45 PM · Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
AS Roma Away Win
66%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Hellas Verona12%
Draw22%
AS Roma66%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)45%
Under 2.5 (0-2)55%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes40%
BTTS: No60%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Hellas Verona vs AS Roma — AS Roma Away Win: 66%. λ (Home): 0.65 · λ (Away): 1.84.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.