冠军预测 — 2026-27 — Goalence

🏆 欧足联俱乐部赛事

36 队联赛阶段，反复模拟数万次直至决赛。前三列是联赛阶段的最终名次：前八名直接晋级 16 强，第 9 至 24 名进入淘汰赛附加赛，其余出局。之后是夺冠概率列——每个观测点一列，每轮比赛后新增一个带日期的列，最早在前、最新在后。

更新时间: 2026年8月28日 · 每个观测点 30,000 次模拟

🏆欧洲冠军联赛

36 支球队 · 1 个夺冠观测点

#	球队	前 8	9–24	出局	8月27日抽签
1	Arsenal1	50.8%	41.3%	7.9%	13.2%
2	Paris Saint-Germain1	39.8%	45.4%	14.8%	7.8%
3	Bayern Munich1	43.0%	43.2%	13.8%	7.7%
4	Manchester City1	33.6%	47.8%	18.6%	7.0%
5	Barcelona1	38.3%	45.2%	16.6%	6.3%
6	Liverpool1	39.4%	45.6%	15.0%	5.7%
7	Real Madrid1	37.1%	47.0%	15.9%	5.6%
8	Manchester United2	31.2%	48.5%	20.3%	4.8%
9	Aston Villa2	29.8%	48.6%	21.6%	4.7%
10	Inter Milan1	34.7%	47.2%	18.1%	4.3%
11	Sporting CP2	31.2%	47.9%	20.9%	3.5%
12	Borussia Dortmund2	23.2%	50.4%	26.4%	2.6%
13	Atlético Madrid1	21.1%	48.3%	30.6%	2.5%
14	Roma2	22.4%	49.5%	28.2%	2.3%
15	PSV Eindhoven2	26.3%	46.7%	27.0%	2.2%
16	Porto2	23.9%	49.5%	26.5%	2.1%
17	Club Brugge2	23.0%	47.7%	29.3%	1.8%
18	RB Leipzig3	20.3%	46.7%	33.1%	1.6%
19	Napoli3	22.3%	50.4%	27.3%	1.6%
20	Bodø/Glimt3	19.9%	50.9%	29.3%	1.6%
21	VfB Stuttgart4	22.3%	47.7%	30.0%	1.4%
22	Real Betis2	15.0%	47.3%	37.6%	1.3%
23	Lens4	17.1%	46.3%	36.6%	1.2%
24	Villarreal3	14.1%	45.5%	40.4%	1.1%
25	Lille3	13.3%	48.3%	38.4%	1.1%
26	Fenerbahçe3	18.0%	47.5%	34.5%	1.0%
27	Galatasaray3	14.4%	45.4%	40.2%	1.0%
28	Como4	14.8%	45.6%	39.5%	1.0%
29	AEK Athens4	13.3%	45.3%	41.4%	0.6%
30	Feyenoord3	10.0%	40.5%	49.5%	0.5%
31	Slavia Prague4	10.7%	42.9%	46.4%	0.4%
32	Viking4	10.2%	40.1%	49.8%	0.4%
33	LASK4	5.0%	31.8%	63.2%	0.1%
34	Slovan Bratislava4	3.9%	29.3%	66.8%	<0.1%
35	Shakhtar Donetsk3	5.0%	29.8%	65.2%	<0.1%
36	Sabah4	1.6%	18.8%	79.6%	<0.1%

夺冠概率。每一列都是在所示日期计算的观测点，此后绝不改写；最新的一个是最后一列。

🏆欧洲联赛

36 支球队 · 1 个夺冠观测点

#	球队	前 8	9–24	出局	8月28日抽签
1	Bournemouth3	55.0%	37.5%	7.5%	12.9%
2	Benfica1	52.7%	39.4%	7.9%	9.7%
3	Crystal Palace3	50.1%	40.5%	9.4%	9.5%
4	Bayer Leverkusen1	43.3%	43.6%	13.1%	7.8%
5	Juventus1	43.5%	44.0%	12.5%	7.7%
6	Sunderland3	46.5%	43.3%	10.2%	6.2%
7	Milan1	33.5%	49.0%	17.5%	5.6%
8	Rennes2	35.2%	48.6%	16.2%	4.0%
9	Marseille1	30.3%	49.2%	20.5%	3.8%
10	Union Saint-Gilloise2	30.2%	49.4%	20.4%	3.7%
11	Lyon1	25.6%	50.2%	24.2%	3.6%
12	TSG Hoffenheim4	30.8%	49.1%	20.1%	3.6%
13	Celta Vigo3	23.2%	49.7%	27.1%	3.1%
14	Olympiacos1	24.7%	51.6%	23.7%	2.6%
15	Real Sociedad1	23.5%	49.7%	26.7%	2.5%
16	Celtic2	20.4%	48.2%	31.4%	1.4%
17	Dinamo Zagreb2	19.1%	48.2%	32.7%	1.3%
18	Sparta Prague2	18.9%	49.3%	31.8%	1.2%
19	Viktoria Plzeň2	12.3%	48.4%	39.4%	1.1%
20	Lech Poznań3	16.2%	47.3%	36.5%	1.1%
21	NEC4	19.3%	48.3%	32.5%	1.0%
22	AZ1	16.5%	48.6%	34.9%	1.0%
23	Ferencváros2	15.8%	47.6%	36.6%	0.9%
24	Beşiktaş4	10.5%	41.7%	47.8%	0.8%
25	Anderlecht2	12.2%	45.0%	42.7%	0.7%
26	Celje3	15.4%	45.3%	39.3%	0.6%
27	Jagiellonia Białystok3	8.8%	42.8%	48.4%	0.5%
28	Red Bull Salzburg2	10.5%	42.7%	46.8%	0.4%
29	Omonia3	9.0%	41.8%	49.2%	0.4%
30	Sturm Graz3	9.8%	42.2%	48.0%	0.4%
31	Hapoel Be'er Sheva4	7.6%	41.0%	51.4%	0.3%
32	Ararat-Armenia4	10.9%	42.5%	46.7%	0.2%
33	Levski Sofia4	4.8%	38.2%	57.0%	0.1%
34	Lillestrøm4	4.8%	33.6%	61.7%	0.1%
35	Torreense4	4.4%	31.3%	64.3%	<0.1%
36	OFI4	4.8%	31.4%	63.8%	<0.1%

夺冠概率。每一列都是在所示日期计算的观测点，此后绝不改写；最新的一个是最后一列。

🏆欧洲会议联赛

36 支球队 · 1 个夺冠观测点

#	球队	前 8	9–24	出局	8月28日抽签
1	Brighton & Hove Albion2	56.4%	37.5%	6.2%	18.0%
2	Atalanta1	48.8%	41.4%	9.8%	9.2%
3	Midtjylland2	49.1%	41.2%	9.8%	8.1%
4	SC Freiburg1	40.6%	45.8%	13.6%	7.8%
5	Monaco1	39.8%	47.5%	12.7%	7.0%
6	Braga1	44.2%	44.5%	11.4%	6.5%
7	Getafe3	31.6%	51.4%	17.0%	4.6%
8	Nordsjælland5	30.9%	52.5%	16.5%	4.3%
9	Red Star Belgrade2	35.5%	49.5%	15.0%	3.6%
10	Copenhagen1	27.3%	50.5%	22.2%	2.8%
11	Pafos2	22.2%	51.0%	26.8%	2.7%
12	Sint-Truiden4	27.3%	51.0%	21.7%	2.5%
13	Mjällby AIF6	37.3%	48.0%	14.6%	2.5%
14	Twente3	24.8%	50.7%	24.5%	2.4%
15	Ajax1	16.4%	46.8%	36.8%	2.1%
16	Brann4	24.9%	52.4%	22.8%	2.0%
17	Trabzonspor4	23.8%	49.9%	26.3%	2.0%
18	Panathinaikos2	18.8%	51.8%	29.4%	2.0%
19	Gent2	22.2%	50.8%	27.1%	1.8%
20	AGF5	19.3%	53.8%	26.9%	1.6%
21	Thun6	22.0%	47.8%	30.2%	1.3%
22	Universitatea Craiova4	20.9%	50.9%	28.1%	1.3%
23	Heart of Midlothian4	17.8%	49.1%	33.1%	1.1%
24	Lugano3	15.3%	49.7%	35.0%	0.9%
25	Jablonec5	13.0%	48.3%	38.7%	0.7%
26	Hajduk Split5	13.8%	47.3%	38.9%	0.4%
27	Riga5	11.2%	43.8%	44.9%	0.2%
28	Kairat4	8.5%	39.5%	52.0%	0.2%
29	CSKA Sofia6	5.4%	35.3%	59.3%	0.2%
30	Inter Club d'Escaldes5	6.9%	35.1%	58.0%	0.1%
31	KuPS3	7.5%	42.3%	50.2%	0.1%
32	Borac Banja Luka3	4.6%	35.0%	60.4%	<0.1%
33	Egnatia6	4.2%	35.2%	60.6%	<0.1%
34	Kauno Žalgiris6	3.7%	31.5%	64.8%	<0.1%
35	Lincoln Red Imps3	3.2%	26.6%	70.2%	<0.1%
36	Iberia 19996	0.9%	14.6%	84.6%	0%

夺冠概率。每一列都是在所示日期计算的观测点，此后绝不改写；最新的一个是最后一列。

🏴英格兰超级联赛

已进行2轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Arsenal	56.2%	56.2%	62.7%
Manchester City	21.9%	21.9%	25.3%
Chelsea	1.5%	1.5%	2.2%
Brentford	2.4%	2.4%	1.5%
Leeds	2.0%	2.0%	1.4%
Brighton	1.9%	1.9%	1.3%
Liverpool	2.8%	2.8%	1.1%
Newcastle	1.3%	1.3%	1.1%
Bournemouth	2.8%	2.8%	1.0%
Manchester United	2.6%	2.6%	1.0%
Aston Villa	3.1%	3.1%	0.9%
Crystal Palace	0.7%	0.7%	0.2%
Everton	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Fulham	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Tottenham	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Nottingham Forest	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Coventry	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Hull City	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Ipswich	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Sunderland	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇪🇸西班牙甲级联赛

已进行3轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Barcelona	58.2%	58.2%	60.6%
Real Madrid	33.6%	33.6%	34.4%
Atletico Madrid	7.1%	7.1%	4.5%
Real Betis	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Alaves	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Athletic Club	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Osasuna	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Rayo Vallecano	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Celta Vigo	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Real Sociedad	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Valencia	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Deportivo La Coruna^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elche	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Espanyol	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Getafe	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Levante	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Malaga^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Racing Santander^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sevilla	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Villarreal	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇮🇹意大利甲级联赛

已进行2轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Juventus	42.9%	42.9%	41.9%
Inter	22.1%	22.1%	23.6%
Como	20.0%	20.0%	17.2%
AS Roma	7.2%	7.2%	9.0%
AC Milan	4.6%	4.6%	5.4%
Atalanta	1.8%	1.8%	2.0%
Lazio	0.2%	0.2%	0.5%
Napoli	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%
Fiorentina	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Udinese	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Bologna	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sassuolo	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Cagliari	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Frosinone	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Genoa	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Lecce	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Monza	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Parma	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Torino	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Venezia	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇩🇪德国甲级联赛

已进行1轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Bayern München	87.6%	87.6%	90.3%
Bayer Leverkusen	6.1%	6.1%	3.2%
Borussia Dortmund	2.3%	2.3%	2.7%
RB Leipzig	1.1%	1.1%	1.4%
SC Freiburg	0.6%	0.6%	0.9%
VfB Stuttgart	1.4%	1.4%	0.9%
FSV Mainz 05	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%
1. FC Köln	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
1899 Hoffenheim	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
FC Augsburg	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Werder Bremen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
FC Schalke 04	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Hamburger SV	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
SC Paderborn 07	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
SV Elversberg	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Union Berlin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇫🇷法国甲级联赛

已进行2轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Paris Saint Germain	97.2%	97.6%	96.0%
Lens	2.1%	1.8%	2.1%
Lille	0.5%	0.4%	1.4%
Monaco	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
Lyon	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Rennes	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Marseille	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Strasbourg	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Lorient	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Angers	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Auxerre	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Estac Troyes	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Le Havre	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Le Mans^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Nice	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Paris FC	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Stade Brestois 29	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Toulouse	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇹🇷土耳其超级联赛

已进行3轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Galatasaray	46.4%	46.0%	51.0%
Fenerbahçe	39.7%	39.3%	30.0%
Erzurumspor FK	0.0%	0.0%	8.9%
Beşiktaş	7.8%	8.0%	5.6%
Amed	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%
Başakşehir	2.9%	3.1%	1.3%
Trabzonspor	0.8%	1.1%	0.5%
Göztepe	2.0%	2.1%	0.3%
Rizespor	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Çorum FK	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Samsunspor	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
Kasımpaşa	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kocaelispor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Konyaspor	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Alanyaspor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Eyüpspor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Gaziantep FK	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇵🇹葡萄牙超级联赛

已进行2轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Sporting CP	67.1%	67.5%	65.4%
Benfica	26.5%	26.4%	23.4%
FC Porto	5.4%	5.2%	10.5%
SC Braga	1.0%	0.8%	0.7%
Academico Viseu^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Alverca	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Arouca	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Casa Pia	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Estoril	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Estrela	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Famalicao	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
GIL Vicente	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Maritimo	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Moreirense	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Nacional	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Rio Ave	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Santa Clara	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Vitória SC	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇳🇱荷兰甲级联赛

已进行3轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
PSV Eindhoven	86.6%	86.6%	88.1%
AZ Alkmaar	1.7%	1.5%	3.5%
Ajax	2.9%	2.7%	3.2%
Twente	3.6%	3.8%	2.6%
NEC Nijmegen	2.3%	2.3%	1.6%
Feyenoord	1.6%	1.6%	0.7%
Utrecht	1.0%	1.1%	0.1%
Groningen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
GO Ahead Eagles	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Heerenveen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Excelsior	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Telstar	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
ADO Den Haag	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Cambuur	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Fortuna Sittard	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
PEC Zwolle	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sparta Rotterdam	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Willem II	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🏴苏格兰超级联赛

已进行3轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Celtic	54.5%	56.5%	70.2%
Rangers	22.9%	19.9%	12.5%
Heart Of Midlothian	13.5%	14.0%	9.4%
Hibernian	3.6%	4.0%	4.3%
Motherwell	5.3%	5.6%	3.6%
Aberdeen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Dundee	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Dundee Utd	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Falkirk	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kilmarnock	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
ST Johnstone	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
ST Mirren	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇨🇭瑞士超级联赛

已进行4轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
FC Lugano	19.3%	22.5%	44.3%
FC Sion	36.4%	28.5%	24.8%
BSC Young Boys	16.8%	23.4%	19.7%
FC ST. Gallen	9.8%	11.8%	6.3%
FC Thun	3.3%	5.5%	2.2%
Servette FC	9.9%	5.5%	1.6%
FC Luzern	4.5%	2.5%	0.9%
FC Basel 1893	0.0%	0.2%	0.2%
FC Vaduz	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
FC Zurich	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Grasshoppers	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Lausanne	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇦🇹奥地利甲级联赛

已进行4轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Lask Linz	57.4%	62.5%	76.3%
Red Bull Salzburg	10.7%	9.2%	13.6%
Sturm Graz	25.5%	23.1%	7.7%
Rapid Vienna	0.2%	0.3%	1.6%
Grazer AK	2.7%	1.8%	0.3%
TSV Hartberg	1.2%	1.1%	0.2%
Austria Vienna	1.5%	1.3%	0.2%
Wolfsberger AC	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%
Ried	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
Austria Lustenau	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
SCR Altach	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
WSG Wattens	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🇬🇷希腊超级联赛

已进行1轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
AEK Athens FC	57.1%	56.2%	42.4%
Olympiakos Piraeus	22.2%	23.2%	29.0%
PAOK	17.0%	17.0%	23.9%
Panathinaikos	3.5%	3.5%	4.6%
Aris Thessalonikis	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
OFI	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Asteras Tripolis	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Atromitos	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Iraklis 1908^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kalamata^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kifisia	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Levadiakos	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Panetolikos	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Volos NFC	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇺🇦乌克兰超级联赛

已进行2轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Shakhtar Donetsk	80.6%	82.1%	84.0%
Dynamo Kyiv	9.0%	8.7%	7.0%
Polessya	5.1%	4.9%	6.5%
Karpaty	1.1%	0.4%	1.7%
LNZ Cherkasy	3.7%	3.4%	0.5%
FC Kharkiv	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Zorya Luhansk	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Kryvbas KR	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Bukovyna^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Chornomorets	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kolos Kovalivka	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kudrivka	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Livyi Bereh	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Obolon'-Brovar	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Veres Rivne	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇷🇺俄罗斯超级联赛

已进行6轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
FC Krasnodar	41.5%	44.1%	68.8%
Zenit	53.1%	51.9%	28.8%
Spartak Moscow	1.8%	1.8%	1.6%
Dynamo	2.4%	1.5%	0.7%
Baltika	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
CSKA Moscow	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
Lokomotiv	0.5%	0.3%	0.0%
Akhmat	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Akron	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Dinamo Makhachkala	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
FC Orenburg	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
FC Rostov	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Fakel	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Krylia Sovetov	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Rodina Moskva	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Rubin	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%

🏴英冠联赛

已进行3轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
West Ham	66.3%	67.4%	47.6%
Southampton	22.1%	21.4%	28.4%
Wolves	7.6%	7.6%	12.4%
Lincoln	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%
Middlesbrough	1.2%	1.3%	2.8%
Millwall	0.9%	0.8%	2.2%
Burnley	1.1%	0.9%	0.9%
Norwich	0.6%	0.5%	0.5%
Cardiff	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%
Swansea	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%
Derby	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
West Brom	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Birmingham	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Blackburn	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Bolton	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Bristol City	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Charlton	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Portsmouth	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Preston	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
QPR	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sheffield Utd	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Stoke City	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Watford	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Wrexham	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🏴英甲联赛

已进行2轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Stockport County	19.8%	20.0%	23.7%
Plymouth	23.4%	24.3%	19.8%
Mansfield Town	17.2%	17.1%	17.8%
Luton	14.7%	15.2%	12.0%
Oxford United	11.1%	10.1%	11.5%
Huddersfield	2.5%	2.5%	4.3%
Leicester	7.9%	7.7%	3.3%
Cambridge United	0.0%	0.0%	3.2%
Milton Keynes Dons	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%
Wycombe	1.9%	1.7%	0.9%
Blackpool	0.6%	0.6%	0.7%
Reading	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
Bradford	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
Notts County	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%
Burton Albion	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Bromley	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Leyton Orient	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Doncaster	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Peterborough	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Stevenage	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Wigan	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AFC Wimbledon	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Barnsley	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sheffield Wednesday	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🏴英乙联赛

已进行3轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
York	0.0%	0.0%	85.3%
Barnet	23.3%	23.6%	5.4%
Grimsby	31.3%	29.9%	4.6%
Oldham	9.9%	10.1%	1.6%
Bristol Rovers	8.6%	9.2%	1.4%
Rochdale	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
Salford City	14.7%	15.2%	0.4%
Colchester	2.5%	2.4%	0.4%
Exeter City	2.8%	2.8%	0.1%
Chesterfield	3.9%	3.8%	0.1%
Crewe	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Port Vale	2.5%	2.5%	0.0%
Fleetwood Town	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Accrington ST	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Cheltenham	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Crawley Town	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Gillingham	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Newport County	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Northampton	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Rotherham	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Shrewsbury	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Swindon Town	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
Tranmere	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Walsall	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

🏴英格兰全国联赛

已进行4轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Boreham Wood	37.7%	37.4%	58.9%
Carlisle	29.1%	29.5%	17.8%
Southend	15.6%	15.6%	17.6%
Forest Green	10.8%	10.0%	3.9%
Woking	5.5%	5.9%	1.2%
Boston United	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%
FC Halifax Town	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Altrincham	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Tamworth	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Scunthorpe	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Harrogate Town	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Wealdstone	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Solihull Moors	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
AFC Fylde	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
AFC Hornchurch^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Aldershot Town	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Barrow	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Eastleigh	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Gateshead	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Hartlepool	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Kidderminster Harriers	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sutton Utd	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Worthing^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Yeovil Town	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇹🇷土耳其甲级联赛

已进行4轮

球队	2026年7月	2026年8月	2026年9月
Esenler Erokspor	52.7%	52.5%	39.9%
Keçiörengücü	19.6%	19.6%	24.8%
Bandırmaspor	8.0%	8.3%	15.3%
Bodrum FK	15.1%	15.4%	11.4%
Kayserispor	0.5%	0.4%	1.9%
Sarıyer	0.6%	0.6%	1.7%
Pendikspor	0.6%	0.8%	1.3%
Manisa F.K.	0.2%	0.2%	1.3%
İstanbulspor	1.9%	1.8%	1.1%
Fatih Karagümrük	0.4%	0.3%	0.8%
Batman Petrolspor^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%
Iğdır FK	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Muğlaspor^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Mardin 1969^*	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Ümraniyespor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Bursaspor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Antalyaspor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Boluspor	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sivasspor	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
Vanspor FK	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

纯模型，只使用我们自己的概率，不掺杂任何外部数据。主场优势按每场比赛真实的主队计算 — 不同于世界杯，这里没有中立场地。

模型如何运作 →2026世界杯预测 — 存档 →