Goalence
goalence

🏆 2026-27赛季

冠军预测 — 2026-27

我们的Pi-Ratings模型将每个联赛剩余赛季模拟了数万次。下面是每支球队的夺冠概率，以及它每月的变化。

更新时间: 2026年10月01日 · 10,000次模拟 · 每月1日更新

🏆 欧足联俱乐部赛事

36 队联赛阶段，反复模拟数万次直至决赛。前三列是联赛阶段的最终名次：前八名直接晋级 16 强，第 9 至 24 名进入淘汰赛附加赛，其余出局。之后是夺冠概率列——每个观测点一列，每轮比赛后新增一个带日期的列，最早在前、最新在后。

更新时间: 2026年10月22日 · 每个观测点 30,000 次模拟

🏆欧洲冠军联赛

36 支球队 · 4 个夺冠观测点

#球队前 89–24出局8月27日抽签9月10日第1轮10月14日第2轮10月21日第3轮
1Arsenal171.0%28.5%0.5%13.2%12.0%12.6%12.6%
2Paris Saint-Germain179.1%20.7%0.2%7.8%7.2%8.3%9.3%▲0.9
3Bayern Munich134.2%57.7%8.1%7.7%8.5%8.2%8.2%
4Barcelona152.6%44.3%3.1%6.3%7.3%8.8%7.9%▼0.9
5Real Madrid180.0%19.8%0.2%5.6%6.2%7.1%7.8%▲0.7
6Liverpool174.9%24.7%0.4%5.7%5.8%7.0%7.4%▲0.4
7Manchester City138.6%55.0%6.4%7.0%8.4%6.7%7.1%▲0.4
8Aston Villa268.8%30.8%0.5%4.7%4.6%5.4%6.3%▲1.0
9Inter Milan111.1%60.4%28.6%4.3%3.6%2.6%3.0%▲0.4
10Sporting CP228.3%62.0%9.7%3.5%3.7%4.0%3.0%▼1.0
11Borussia Dortmund227.6%64.2%8.2%2.6%3.1%2.6%3.0%▲0.4
12Manchester United210.2%60.4%29.4%4.8%4.9%3.9%2.8%▼1.0
13Atlético Madrid113.7%65.0%21.3%2.5%1.7%2.7%2.4%▼0.3
14Real Betis250.3%47.8%1.9%1.3%1.8%2.0%2.4%▲0.4
15Club Brugge230.2%60.4%9.4%1.8%1.1%1.9%2.2%▲0.3
16Roma29.1%61.0%30.0%2.3%2.4%1.5%1.7%▲0.2
17VfB Stuttgart433.0%59.9%7.1%1.4%1.9%2.0%1.7%▼0.3
18PSV Eindhoven212.6%61.4%26.0%2.2%1.9%1.2%1.6%▲0.4
19Como423.3%64.5%12.1%1.0%1.5%1.2%1.5%▲0.3
20Bodø/Glimt37.3%60.6%32.1%1.6%1.3%1.2%1.1%
21Villarreal37.4%57.8%34.8%1.1%1.0%1.5%1.1%▼0.4
22Napoli36.9%57.2%35.9%1.6%1.4%0.9%1.1%▲0.1
23RB Leipzig35.9%54.3%39.8%1.6%1.2%1.5%1.0%▼0.5
24Lens44.9%49.8%45.3%1.2%1.5%1.1%0.7%▼0.4
25Galatasaray34.7%50.0%45.3%1.0%0.8%0.3%0.7%▲0.3
26Porto20.7%28.1%71.3%2.1%1.5%1.1%0.6%▼0.5
27Feyenoord33.9%46.3%49.8%0.5%0.3%0.6%0.5%▼0.2
28Fenerbahçe31.7%36.9%61.4%1.0%0.9%0.6%0.3%▼0.3
29AEK Athens42.7%42.4%54.9%0.6%0.7%0.4%0.3%▼0.1
30Lille30.2%15.3%84.5%1.1%0.7%0.4%0.2%▼0.2
31Viking40.6%28.1%71.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
32Slavia Prague40.3%18.9%80.9%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.1%
33LASK41.7%38.1%60.3%0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
34Shakhtar Donetsk32.3%42.1%55.6%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
35Slovan Bratislava4<0.1%7.7%92.2%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
36Sabah40.4%18.0%81.6%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%

夺冠概率。每一列都是在所示日期计算的观测点，此后绝不改写；最新的一个是最后一列。

🏆欧洲联赛

36 支球队 · 4 个夺冠观测点

#球队前 89–24出局8月28日抽签9月17日第1轮10月1日第2轮10月22日第3轮
1Bournemouth389.3%10.7%<0.1%12.9%13.3%13.8%15.3%▲1.5
2Benfica190.1%9.8%<0.1%9.7%11.4%11.0%11.9%▲0.9
3Bayer Leverkusen182.3%17.6%<0.1%7.8%7.7%9.5%10.7%▲1.2
4Juventus161.2%38.0%0.8%7.7%8.1%9.5%8.9%▼0.6
5Crystal Palace328.9%62.1%9.1%9.5%8.2%7.9%6.8%▼1.2
6Sunderland358.1%40.5%1.3%6.2%6.5%7.0%6.1%▼0.9
7Union Saint-Gilloise253.3%44.4%2.3%3.7%4.8%4.7%5.1%▲0.4
8Lyon133.5%61.0%5.4%3.6%4.8%5.5%4.6%▼0.8
9Milan112.7%68.2%19.1%5.6%3.7%4.7%4.1%▼0.7
10Olympiacos164.3%35.3%0.4%2.6%3.0%3.9%3.9%
11Rennes230.3%62.7%7.1%4.0%3.8%3.9%3.7%▼0.2
12Ferencváros256.0%43.2%0.8%0.9%1.9%2.1%2.2%▲0.1
13Real Sociedad114.7%68.2%17.2%2.5%1.8%1.6%2.2%▲0.5
14Celta Vigo35.7%62.3%32.0%3.1%2.0%1.3%1.9%▲0.7
15TSG Hoffenheim46.7%60.8%32.5%3.6%2.3%1.2%1.8%▲0.6
16Beşiktaş427.2%66.3%6.6%0.8%1.4%1.9%1.8%▼0.1
17AZ125.7%66.3%8.0%1.0%1.2%1.1%1.6%▲0.5
18Marseille10.5%32.2%67.3%3.8%2.5%1.5%0.9%▼0.5
19Sparta Prague28.8%64.3%26.9%1.2%1.6%1.2%0.9%▼0.3
20Dinamo Zagreb24.9%58.7%36.4%1.3%1.3%1.5%0.9%▼0.6
21NEC49.4%63.9%26.8%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.8%▲0.3
22Anderlecht25.3%59.7%34.9%0.7%0.8%0.4%0.7%▲0.3
23Red Bull Salzburg25.6%59.3%35.1%0.4%1.3%0.7%0.6%▼0.2
24Omonia311.4%70.2%18.4%0.4%0.6%0.6%0.5%
25Sturm Graz35.0%59.1%36.0%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.4%▲0.1
26Lech Poznań30.8%31.0%68.2%1.1%1.2%0.5%0.4%▼0.2
27Celtic20.4%25.4%74.1%1.4%0.9%0.7%0.3%▼0.3
28Jagiellonia Białystok31.5%39.9%58.6%0.5%0.4%0.5%0.3%▼0.2
29Levski Sofia43.0%57.6%39.4%0.1%0.2%<0.1%0.2%▲0.1
30Viktoria Plzeň20.1%16.4%83.5%1.1%0.7%0.4%0.2%▼0.2
31Celje30.5%27.8%71.7%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
32Hapoel Be'er Sheva40.2%19.4%80.5%0.3%0.4%0.2%<0.1%
33Torreense41.6%40.1%58.4%<0.1%0.2%<0.1%<0.1%
34OFI40.9%35.7%63.4%<0.1%0.2%0.1%<0.1%
35Ararat-Armenia4<0.1%13.2%86.8%0.2%0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
36Lillestrøm4<0.1%9.0%91.0%0.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%

夺冠概率。每一列都是在所示日期计算的观测点，此后绝不改写；最新的一个是最后一列。

🏆欧洲会议联赛

36 支球队 · 3 个夺冠观测点

#球队前 89–24出局8月28日抽签10月15日第1轮11月5日第2轮
1Brighton & Hove Albion255.0%42.6%2.4%18.0%19.2%18.8%▼0.4
2Monaco173.6%25.9%0.5%7.0%7.9%9.0%▲1.1
3Atalanta141.3%51.8%6.9%9.2%10.1%8.6%▼1.5
4SC Freiburg128.2%59.3%12.6%7.8%8.0%6.8%▼1.1
5Braga130.6%62.3%7.1%6.5%5.3%5.8%▲0.6
6Copenhagen145.0%51.4%3.6%2.8%4.3%4.6%▲0.4
7Midtjylland210.1%62.2%27.8%8.1%5.8%4.5%▼1.3
8Twente357.7%40.7%1.6%2.4%3.5%4.2%▲0.6
9Sint-Truiden452.4%44.7%2.9%2.5%2.8%3.6%▲0.8
10Panathinaikos246.8%50.4%2.9%2.0%2.3%3.5%▲1.2
11Trabzonspor457.3%40.5%2.2%2.0%2.7%3.3%▲0.6
12Brann448.4%48.5%3.1%2.0%2.3%3.3%▲0.9
13Ajax116.9%59.6%23.5%2.1%1.9%2.9%▲1.0
14Getafe36.5%61.7%31.8%4.6%4.1%2.8%▼1.3
15Nordsjælland510.3%62.9%26.8%4.3%3.4%2.6%▼0.8
16Lugano357.2%40.7%2.1%0.9%1.7%2.4%▲0.7
17Red Star Belgrade29.8%63.9%26.3%3.6%3.0%2.4%▼0.6
18Mjällby AIF631.9%60.3%7.8%2.5%2.6%2.3%▼0.3
19Gent217.9%61.1%21.0%1.8%1.8%1.6%▼0.2
20Hajduk Split545.9%50.2%3.9%0.4%0.9%1.4%▲0.5
21Universitatea Craiova423.4%66.6%10.0%1.3%0.9%1.3%▲0.4
22Pafos23.4%46.6%50.0%2.7%1.7%1.1%▼0.5
23AGF54.1%50.4%45.5%1.6%1.4%1.0%▼0.4
24Jablonec54.3%52.0%43.7%0.7%0.7%0.6%
25Heart of Midlothian43.3%47.7%49.0%1.1%0.7%0.6%▼0.2
26Thun61.9%34.5%63.6%1.3%0.5%0.3%▼0.2
27Riga55.4%48.0%46.6%0.2%0.2%0.2%
28Borac Banja Luka35.7%51.2%43.1%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
29CSKA Sofia61.6%35.2%63.2%0.2%<0.1%<0.1%
30Egnatia62.8%49.5%47.8%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
31Kairat40.7%23.6%75.7%0.2%0.1%<0.1%
32Inter Club d'Escaldes50.1%10.6%89.3%0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
33KuPS30.1%10.8%89.1%0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
34Kauno Žalgiris60.4%14.9%84.7%<0.1%<0.1%<0.1%
35Lincoln Red Imps3<0.1%9.1%90.8%<0.1%<0.1%0%
36Iberia 19996<0.1%8.6%91.4%0%0%0%

夺冠概率。每一列都是在所示日期计算的观测点，此后绝不改写；最新的一个是最后一列。

🏴英格兰超级联赛

已进行5轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Manchester City21.9%21.9%25.3%55.4%
Arsenal56.2%56.2%62.7%38.4%
Brighton1.9%1.9%1.3%2.1%
Liverpool2.8%2.8%1.1%1.8%
Leeds2.0%2.0%1.4%0.6%
Brentford2.4%2.4%1.5%0.6%
Chelsea1.5%1.5%2.2%0.5%
Newcastle1.3%1.3%1.1%0.3%
Everton0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Bournemouth2.8%2.8%1.0%0.1%
Manchester United2.6%2.6%1.0%0.1%
Crystal Palace0.7%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Aston Villa3.1%3.1%0.9%0.0%
Coventry0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Fulham0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Hull City0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Ipswich0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Nottingham Forest0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sunderland0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Tottenham0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%

🇪🇸西班牙甲级联赛

已进行6轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Barcelona58.2%58.2%60.6%97.0%
Real Madrid33.6%33.6%34.4%2.9%
Atletico Madrid7.1%7.1%4.5%0.1%
Real Betis0.2%0.2%0.2%0.0%
Alaves0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Athletic Club0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Celta Vigo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Deportivo La Coruna*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Elche0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Espanyol0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Getafe0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Levante0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Malaga*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Osasuna0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Racing Santander*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Rayo Vallecano0.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%
Real Sociedad0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sevilla0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Valencia0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Villarreal0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇮🇹意大利甲级联赛

已进行5轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
AS Roma7.2%7.2%9.0%38.9%
Inter22.1%22.1%23.6%33.0%
Como20.0%20.0%17.2%18.0%
Juventus42.9%42.9%41.9%8.3%
AC Milan4.6%4.6%5.4%1.0%
Lazio0.2%0.2%0.5%0.4%
Atalanta1.8%1.8%2.0%0.2%
Napoli0.7%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Udinese0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Bologna0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Cagliari0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Fiorentina0.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Frosinone0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Genoa0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Lecce0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Monza0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Parma0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sassuolo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Torino0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Venezia0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

🇩🇪德国甲级联赛

已进行4轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Bayern München87.6%87.6%90.3%83.4%
Borussia Dortmund2.3%2.3%2.7%11.0%
Bayer Leverkusen6.1%6.1%3.2%3.4%
VfB Stuttgart1.4%1.4%0.9%0.7%
SC Freiburg0.6%0.6%0.9%0.6%
FSV Mainz 050.4%0.4%0.3%0.3%
RB Leipzig1.1%1.1%1.4%0.3%
FC Augsburg0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%
1. FC Köln0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
1899 Hoffenheim0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Borussia Mönchengladbach0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FC Schalke 040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Hamburger SV0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
SC Paderborn 070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
SV Elversberg0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Union Berlin0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Werder Bremen0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

🇫🇷法国甲级联赛

已进行5轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Paris Saint Germain97.2%97.6%96.0%69.3%
Monaco0.1%0.1%0.2%18.5%
Lille0.5%0.4%1.4%5.7%
Lyon0.0%0.0%0.1%3.4%
Rennes0.0%0.0%0.1%1.5%
Lens2.1%1.8%2.1%0.9%
Paris FC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%
Strasbourg0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%
Marseille0.1%0.0%0.1%0.1%
Toulouse0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Lorient0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Angers0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Auxerre0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Estac Troyes0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Le Havre0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Le Mans*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Nice0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Stade Brestois 290.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇹🇷土耳其超级联赛

已进行6轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Galatasaray46.4%46.0%51.0%50.3%
Beşiktaş7.8%8.0%5.6%24.3%
Fenerbahçe39.7%39.3%30.0%23.0%
Amed0.0%0.0%2.0%1.1%
Trabzonspor0.8%1.1%0.5%0.9%
Başakşehir2.9%3.1%1.3%0.1%
Erzurumspor FK0.0%0.0%8.9%0.1%
Çorum FK0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
Kocaelispor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Alanyaspor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Rizespor0.2%0.2%0.2%0.0%
Gaziantep FK0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kasımpaşa0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Eyüpspor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Göztepe2.0%2.1%0.3%0.0%
Konyaspor0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Samsunspor0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

🇵🇹葡萄牙超级联赛

已进行6轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Benfica26.5%26.4%23.4%63.5%
FC Porto5.4%5.2%10.5%19.9%
Sporting CP67.1%67.5%65.4%16.6%
SC Braga1.0%0.8%0.7%0.0%
Santa Clara0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Academico Viseu*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Alverca0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Arouca0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Casa Pia0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Estoril0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Estrela0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Famalicao0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
GIL Vicente0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Maritimo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Moreirense0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Nacional0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Rio Ave0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Vitória SC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇳🇱荷兰甲级联赛

已进行7轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
PSV Eindhoven86.6%86.6%88.1%80.4%
AZ Alkmaar1.7%1.5%3.5%12.3%
Ajax2.9%2.7%3.2%3.1%
Feyenoord1.6%1.6%0.7%2.1%
Twente3.6%3.8%2.6%2.0%
Excelsior0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Groningen0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
ADO Den Haag0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cambuur0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Fortuna Sittard0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
GO Ahead Eagles0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Heerenveen0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
NEC Nijmegen2.3%2.3%1.6%0.0%
PEC Zwolle0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sparta Rotterdam0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Telstar0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Utrecht1.0%1.1%0.1%0.0%
Willem II0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

🏴苏格兰超级联赛

已进行7轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Celtic54.5%56.5%70.2%79.0%
Rangers22.9%19.9%12.5%19.2%
Heart Of Midlothian13.5%14.0%9.4%1.3%
Motherwell5.3%5.6%3.6%0.4%
Hibernian3.6%4.0%4.3%0.0%
Aberdeen0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Dundee0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Dundee Utd0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Falkirk0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kilmarnock0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ST Johnstone0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ST Mirren0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

🇨🇭瑞士超级联赛

已进行9轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
FC Lugano19.3%22.5%44.3%86.8%
BSC Young Boys16.8%23.4%19.7%7.7%
FC Sion36.4%28.5%24.8%5.3%
FC ST. Gallen9.8%11.8%6.3%0.2%
FC Basel 18930.0%0.2%0.2%0.0%
FC Luzern4.5%2.5%0.9%0.0%
FC Thun3.3%5.5%2.2%0.0%
FC Vaduz0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FC Zurich0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Grasshoppers0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Lausanne0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Servette FC9.9%5.5%1.6%0.0%

🇦🇹奥地利甲级联赛

已进行7轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Lask Linz57.4%62.5%76.3%40.2%
Red Bull Salzburg10.7%9.2%13.6%35.9%
Rapid Vienna0.2%0.3%1.6%22.9%
Sturm Graz25.5%23.1%7.7%1.0%
Austria Lustenau0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Austria Vienna1.5%1.3%0.2%0.0%
Grazer AK2.7%1.8%0.3%0.0%
Ried0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
SCR Altach0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
TSV Hartberg1.2%1.1%0.2%0.0%
WSG Wattens0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Wolfsberger AC0.6%0.5%0.2%0.0%

🇬🇷希腊超级联赛

已进行5轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
AEK Athens FC57.1%56.2%42.4%65.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus22.2%23.2%29.0%15.9%
PAOK17.0%17.0%23.9%10.9%
Panathinaikos3.5%3.5%4.6%8.1%
OFI0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Aris Thessalonikis0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Asteras Tripolis0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Atromitos0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Iraklis 1908*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kalamata*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kifisia0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Levadiakos0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Panetolikos0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Volos NFC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇺🇦乌克兰超级联赛

已进行4轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Shakhtar Donetsk80.6%82.1%84.0%53.2%
Polessya5.1%4.9%6.5%36.0%
FC Kharkiv0.3%0.3%0.2%4.3%
Dynamo Kyiv9.0%8.7%7.0%3.6%
Karpaty1.1%0.4%1.7%3.0%
LNZ Cherkasy3.7%3.4%0.5%0.0%
Bukovyna*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Chornomorets0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kolos Kovalivka0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kryvbas KR0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Kudrivka0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Livyi Bereh0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Obolon'-Brovar0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Veres Rivne0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Zorya Luhansk0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

🇷🇺俄罗斯超级联赛

已进行9轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
FC Krasnodar41.5%44.1%68.8%56.1%
Zenit53.1%51.9%28.8%31.6%
Spartak Moscow1.8%1.8%1.6%7.0%
Dynamo2.4%1.5%0.7%4.1%
CSKA Moscow0.4%0.3%0.1%1.1%
Baltika0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Rubin0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Akhmat0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Akron0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Dinamo Makhachkala0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FC Orenburg0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FC Rostov0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Fakel0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Krylia Sovetov0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Lokomotiv0.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%
Rodina Moskva0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

🇹🇷土耳其甲级联赛

已进行8轮

球队2026年7月2026年8月2026年9月2026年10月
Keçiörengücü19.6%19.6%24.8%40.2%
Kayserispor0.5%0.4%1.9%26.9%
Bursaspor0.0%0.0%0.0%11.9%
Bandırmaspor8.0%8.3%15.3%9.5%
Iğdır FK0.1%0.1%0.1%7.2%
Sarıyer0.6%0.6%1.7%1.5%
Pendikspor0.6%0.8%1.3%1.0%
Batman Petrolspor*0.0%0.0%0.3%0.5%
Fatih Karagümrük0.4%0.3%0.8%0.4%
Bodrum FK15.1%15.4%11.4%0.4%
Esenler Erokspor52.7%52.5%39.9%0.3%
Muğlaspor*0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
Mardin 1969*0.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
Manisa F.K.0.2%0.2%1.3%0.1%
İstanbulspor1.9%1.8%1.1%0.0%
Ümraniyespor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Antalyaspor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Boluspor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sivasspor0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Vanspor FK0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

* 本赛季升班或在该联赛历史数据有限的球队 — 模型根据联赛内部较低分位球队给出保守的起始评分。

纯模型，只使用我们自己的概率，不掺杂任何外部数据。主场优势按每场比赛真实的主队计算 — 不同于世界杯，这里没有中立场地。

模型如何运作 →2026世界杯预测 — 存档 →